Today’s topic comes from a reader’s suggestion (yes, I do have readers!) prompted by his observation that a friend of his bet, in his words, “waaaaay too many top 20s” in a golf tournament. Some of my earliest childhood experiences with gambling were when my dad would take me to the track, either the localContinue reading “Betting Against Yourself”
While there is absolutely no certainty at this point about any of this, let’s suppose that the NFL regular season begins on schedule but without fans in the seats. What, then, is the value of home field advantage? It could be diminished without the encouragement provided by a screaming crowd, and/or if the crowd reactionContinue reading “B.R.E.A.M.: NFL Home Field Advantage in 2020”
“It’s like the nature channel. You don’t see piranhas eating each other, do you?” – Mike McD, Rounders Last year, I was a part owner of an entry that placed 79th in the Westgate NFL SuperContest. After paying 30% withholding tax for non-US citizens on the GROSS cash amount (WTF, America?), I barely broke even.Continue reading “+EV in the SuperContest”
Hi everyone! I’m going to use this “blog” to write some articles instead of publishing through a third party. For my inaugural post, I thought I’d revisit the very first sports betting model I’ve ever built. Sports betting has been legal in Canada since the 1990s…well, sort of. You can always count on government bureaucratsContinue reading “My First Model”
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