Plus EV Analytics
Applying statistical and actuarial methods to the analysis of gambling propositions
Latest from the Blog
Chopped and Skewed: The Mathematics of Points Betting
NOTE: I have no affiliation with any of the companies or products mentioned, and I do not endorse any specific provider or service. An Australian bookmaker called PointsBet has been in the news quite often recently. They expanded into Illinois, and they signed marketing deals with NBC Sports and the PGA Tour. Normally this isContinue reading “Chopped and Skewed: The Mathematics of Points Betting”
NFL Season Win Totals: Two Easy Ways (And One Fun Way) to Find +EV Bets
NOTE: Lines move in real time, so the exact numbers I’m using in this article may be out of date by the time you read it. The general strategies should hold up regardless. I first became interested in NFL season win total betting a year ago when I listened to this podcast with Drew, AndyContinue reading “NFL Season Win Totals: Two Easy Ways (And One Fun Way) to Find +EV Bets”
Horse Racing: Sport of Kings, Sport of Quants
June 8, 2012 Shakopee, Minnesota It was a regular Friday evening card at Canterbury Park, one of America’s less prestigious racetracks. My syndicate placed a couple hundred dollars in bets. The horse we liked best – ironically named “All Bets Are Off” – came in second, and the horse we liked second best – unironicallyContinue reading “Horse Racing: Sport of Kings, Sport of Quants”
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