Plus EV Analytics

Applying statistical and actuarial methods to the analysis of gambling propositions

Latest from the Blog

NFL Season Wins 2022: Seeking Alpha

My original NFL Season Wins article was my most-viewed post of 2020 and one that I’ve been asked quite a few times to update. The most obvious change is that the season is now 17 games long instead of 16, but that’s a trivial update and you, my loyal readers, deserve something more. Back in

August 22, 2022

Sharp Books, Soft Books: Inside the Sportsbook Ecosystem

Today I’m going to tackle a topic that is somewhat controversial. Myths, misconceptions and disinformation are everywhere, there is passionate debate from all directions, and there is a lot of complex stuff going on. Let’s talk about the different ways that a centralized* sportsbook can be run; specifically, how they set their odds and how

September 29, 2021September 30, 2021

An Announcement

Professor Harry Crane is one of the people I respect the most within our little community of sports betting enthusiasts. He has an ability to blend the technical rigor of an academic with the common sense of a real-world practitioner, and he has been nothing but honest and trustworthy in my dealings with him. So

August 19, 2021

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